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Abstract. As climate scientists seek to deliver actionable science for adaptation planning, there are risks in using novel results to inform decision-making. Premature acceptance may lead to maladaptation, practitioner confusion, and “whiplash”. We propose that scientific claims should be considered actionable (i.e., sufficiently accepted to support near-term adaptation action) only after meeting a confidence threshold based on the strength of evidence as evaluated by a diverse group of scientific experts. We discuss an influential study that projected rapid sea-level rise from Antarctic ice-sheet retreat but in our view was not actionable. We recommend regular, transparent communications between scientists and practitioners to support the use of actionable science.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available January 1, 2026
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Tilmes, Simone; Smith, Andrea; Lawrence, Peter; Barnes, Tim; Gadikota, Greeshma; Grabowski, Wojciech; MacMartin, Douglas G.; Medeiros, Brian; Morrison, Monica; Prein, Andreas; et al (, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society)
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Dominguez, Francina; Rasmussen, Roy; Liu, Changhai; Ikeda, Kyoko; Prein, Andreas; Varble, Adam; Arias, Paola A; Bacmeister, Julio; Bettolli, Maria Laura; Callaghan, Patrick; et al (, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society)
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